Third Avenue Small Cap Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

TASCX Fund  USD 22.50  0.03  0.13%   
The entity has a beta of 0.12, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Third Avenue's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Third Avenue is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Third Avenue Small Cap are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Third Avenue may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026.
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Third Avenue Small-Cap Value Fund Q4 2025 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
01/23/2026
Expense Ratio Date1st of March 2025
Expense Ratio1.1800
  

Third Avenue Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,015  in Third Avenue Small Cap on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  232.00  from holding Third Avenue Small Cap or generate 11.51% return on investment over 90 days. Third Avenue Small Cap is currently producing 0.1886% returns and takes up 0.8757% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 7% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Third, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Third Avenue is expected to generate 1.17 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.17 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.22 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Third Avenue Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
22.50
Please note that Third Avenue's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Third Avenue Small has a current Real Value of $24.1 per share. The regular price of the fund is $22.5. We determine the value of Third Avenue Small from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Third Avenue is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Third Mutual Fund. However, Third Avenue's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  22.5 Real  24.1 Hype  22.42 Naive  22.72
The intrinsic value of Third Avenue's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Third Avenue's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
24.10
Real Value
24.98
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Third Avenue Small Cap helps investors to forecast how Third mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Third Avenue more accurately as focusing exclusively on Third Avenue's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.8122.4626.11
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5422.4223.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
21.8422.7223.59
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Third Avenue Small Cap extending back to June 17, 1997. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Third Avenue stands at 22.50, as last reported on the 19th of February, with the highest price reaching 22.50 and the lowest price hitting 22.50 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Third Avenue Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Third Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.50 90 days 22.50 
nearly 4.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Third Avenue to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.1 (This Third Avenue Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Third Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Third Avenue has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Third Avenue average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Third Avenue Small Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Third Avenue Small Cap has an alpha of 0.1243, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Third Avenue Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Third Avenue

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Third Avenue Small. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Third Avenue's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5422.4223.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.2224.1024.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.8422.7223.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.8122.4626.11
Details

Third Avenue Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Third Avenue is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Third Avenue's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Third Avenue Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Third Avenue within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Third Avenue Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Third Avenue for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Third Avenue Small can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Third Avenue Small-Cap Value Fund Q4 2025 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
The fund maintains about 9.85% of its assets in cash

Third Avenue Fundamentals Growth

Third Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Third Avenue, and Third Avenue fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Third Mutual Fund performance.

About Third Avenue Performance

Evaluating Third Avenue's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Third Avenue has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Third Avenue has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund seeks to achieve its objective by acquiring equity securities, including common stocks and convertible securities, of well-financed small companies at a discount to what the Adviser believes is their intrinsic value. The advisor expects to invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of companies that are considered small. It also invests in both domestic and foreign securities.

Things to note about Third Avenue Small performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Third Avenue for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Third Avenue Small help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Third Avenue Small-Cap Value Fund Q4 2025 Commentary - Seeking Alpha
The fund maintains about 9.85% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Third Avenue's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Third Avenue's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Third Avenue's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Third Avenue's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Third Avenue's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Third Avenue's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Third Avenue's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Third Avenue's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Third Avenue's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Third Avenue's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Third Avenue's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Third Mutual Fund

Third Avenue financial ratios help investors to determine whether Third Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Third with respect to the benefits of owning Third Avenue security.
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